Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 145.021260 167.878617 194.438817 227.895205 269.359935 319.661590 3.862352e+02
2025-05-25 114.065347 142.367329 178.822871 230.390075 303.455629 406.586154 5.696948e+02
2025-06-01 96.284450 126.049307 167.037911 229.765139 327.563511 482.404614 7.656766e+02
2025-06-08 83.453115 113.145618 156.122907 226.003395 343.617077 548.648658 9.757756e+02
2025-06-15 77.018544 107.886353 154.717394 235.479922 382.263020 665.320863 1.346929e+03
2025-06-22 67.654989 96.778532 142.334759 224.031284 380.515310 704.687381 1.575035e+03
2025-06-29 61.937011 90.490473 136.564095 222.599539 396.819271 787.162520 1.975243e+03
2025-07-06 57.330469 85.367377 131.900976 222.103893 414.626612 880.347216 2.494351e+03
2025-07-13 55.609716 84.711297 134.685904 236.121396 467.496472 1086.476617 3.661352e+03
2025-07-20 54.510248 84.926144 138.965696 253.923168 535.103641 1375.352962 5.727541e+03
2025-07-27 51.553621 81.569568 136.169486 256.225262 565.085554 1568.393774 7.793114e+03
2025-08-03 49.378663 79.370594 135.265388 262.490486 607.943990 1839.055338 1.134212e+04
2025-08-10 45.935536 74.815729 129.747283 258.522356 625.035008 2045.546411 1.567412e+04
2025-08-17 43.459421 71.862140 127.173959 261.403486 665.621491 2405.360865 2.501441e+04
2025-08-24 40.942020 68.567645 123.451881 260.664744 694.903251 2752.731748 3.950392e+04
2025-08-31 38.396075 64.976570 118.658320 256.225333 710.310809 3052.838248 6.067098e+04
2025-09-07 37.308145 64.127735 119.649738 267.416443 788.401506 3878.028219 1.475873e+05
2025-09-14 34.541639 59.695523 112.222007 253.899528 765.434877 3962.196106 2.023582e+05
2025-09-21 32.846096 57.297353 109.125330 252.211683 790.972258 4494.975602 4.340158e+05
2025-09-28 31.371701 55.232157 106.563646 251.627514 821.752961 5160.776405 1.218591e+06
2025-10-05 31.044654 55.507285 109.467557 268.174866 940.632594 7127.530870 4.355997e+07
2025-10-12 30.920346 56.192829 113.442119 289.265913 1099.743017 10507.377951 NaN
2025-10-19 29.830350 54.708003 111.913214 291.999438 1164.311805 12906.484798 NaN